TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x072a…0d8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST11053.6%59 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.38
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54.5
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+46.4%+$25.5
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.08
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+65.7%+$20.25
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.83
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$79.77
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$39.87
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+138.1%+$75.95
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$41.49
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+170.3%+$86.84
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.68
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.4
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$17.26
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+79.3%+$40.45
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.99
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$52.3
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$35.16
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$107.15
Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.99
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.1
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.94
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$14.62
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+426.3%+$213.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$40.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$31.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.