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NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Oilers55c52,500$28,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,51510349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins45c31,509$14,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,118.751,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bruins45c27,653$12,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,444.0348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Oilers55c23,794$13,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,619.561,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers74c22,311$16,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,769.411,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Bruins24c20,324$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.2326344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins44c15,000$6,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers54c12,424$6,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,671.241,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Bruins45c10,534$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.453743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Bruins45c9,536$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.3830152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Bruins45c7,990$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,595.514940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Oilers55c7,192$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.3922550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bruins45c6,908$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.3752050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Oilers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9614253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bruins45c4,470$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Oilers54c4,387$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.4411947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Bruins45c3,887$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.1530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6994…21efbacked Oilers57c3,707$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Oilers55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3629651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers59c3,610$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.7658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x08a4…bd4cbacked Bruins43c3,580$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Oilers55c3,564$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Oilers54c3,480$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.7961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Bruins46c2,665$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers56c2,657$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.471,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins44c2,626$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.3469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bruins27c2,068$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.6238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Bruins45c2,060$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.0564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bruins46c2,000$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.791136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins39c1,991$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.7295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers56c1,890$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.4679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Bruins43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Oilers68c1,672$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3517057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bruins44c1,630$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.0410554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Bruins45c1,578$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Oilers56c1,424$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.726955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bruins44c1,361$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bruins1c1,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Bruins44c1,161$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6920951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Bruins45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87c…667abacked Oilers56c970$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681f…e1f3backed Bruins44c957$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Oilers56c949.19$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.191764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948a…5d1dbacked Bruins44c943$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec0…08ecbacked Oilers56c930$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa505…aea6backed Bruins44c926.88$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Bruins43c900.95$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.415749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Bruins45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x655a…0297backed Bruins44c899.07$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bruins45c851.01$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.991,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers56c839.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.271,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fc…17a1backed Oilers56c823.88$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins38c808.58$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.041,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff0…0178backed Oilers55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…bac1backed Bruins46c790$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f5…69b8backed Oilers56c788.9$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bruins44c771.14$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.328251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…89d8backed Oilers56c763.3$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f9…a0e2backed Oilers56c751.76$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Oilers75c745.25$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.319562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x63ac…3891backed Bruins46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb396…5d60backed Oilers55c690.91$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b8…a9f0backed Bruins46c690.35$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6540…9888backed Bruins44c687$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Bruins44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…068ebacked Oilers55c680$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d3d…543cbacked Oilers55c670$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c7…581ebacked Bruins46c660$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed Oilers57c634.75$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.941526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fa…20a2backed Bruins44c613.24$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1417…4dd2backed Oilers66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Oilers54c599.97$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.994953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fd…4d3dbacked Oilers73c572.14$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1574977.6%38 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bruins26c558.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bruins18c543.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Oilers55c507.48$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3313448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Oilers55c500.05$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.271,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bruins37c496.2$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.043,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Oilers56c450.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8735245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Bruins45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers56c440$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.674951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Oilers56c439.7$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.514944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Oilers76c405.72$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.915360.8%93 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Oilers56c401.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7930657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oilers64c398.16$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.222,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8846…0641backed Oilers57c395$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Bruins44c394.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7947848.1%230 W · 248 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bruins26c394.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.322,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb972…20aebacked Bruins44c393.81$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers57c371.22$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.071,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Bruins45c330.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…a303backed Bruins9c323.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.074938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.