NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9121fe2ed5445652608f6873bbbea7ae0c45e865485d5a5554bcfa21cba33819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Blues, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lightning | 71c | 218,596$154,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,732.95 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Blues | 29c | 150,000$43,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,500 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lightning | 69c | 66,647$45,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,690.36 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Lightning | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 29c | 28,080$8,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 31c | 22,410$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blues | 31c | 15,809$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.12 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Blues | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blues | 31c | 14,156$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.33 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blues | 31c | 13,007$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.17 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Blues | 31c | 7,838$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.78 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blues | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Blues | 13c | 6,920$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.1 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 32c | 6,142$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.53 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blues | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 66c | 5,753$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.02 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Blues | 31c | 5,027$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.37 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lightning | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 3c | 4,528$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blues | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blues | 30c | 3,919$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Blues | 34c | 3,370$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 19c | 2,932$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blues | 30c | 2,833$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.97 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blues | 31c | 2,802$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.62 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Blues | 22c | 2,724$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Lightning | 70c | 2,447$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.06 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Blues | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Blues | 31c | 2,290$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blues | 31c | 2,100$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Blues | 1c | 2,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Blues | 6c | 2,050$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blues | 4c | 2,048$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Blues | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Lightning | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Blues | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…3bebbacked Blues | 24c | 1,831$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Lightning | 69c | 1,742$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Blues | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blues | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Blues | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blues | 30c | 1,596$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blues | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blues | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Lightning | 78c | 1,496$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…0fa9backed Blues | 31c | 1,455$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…726fbacked Blues | 31c | 1,384$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blues | 32c | 1,359$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.25 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 17c | 1,257$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blues | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Blues | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Blues | 2c | 1,125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Blues | 12c | 1,039$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blues | 18c | 1,018$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lightning | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Blues | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Lightning | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blues | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Blues | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Lightning | 69c | 999.99$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues | 30c | 999.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blues | 14c | 966.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 15c | 907.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blues | 30c | 900.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blues | 31c | 894$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.14 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blues | 12c | 852.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Blues | 4c | 819.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Blues | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…2413backed Blues | 31c | 797.75$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdead…a717backed Blues | 31c | 777.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Blues | 31c | 758.44$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blues | 19c | 667$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lightning | 79c | 659.83$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Blues | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Blues | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Lightning | 77c | 608.74$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…0560backed Lightning | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Blues | 22c | 597.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Blues | 25c | 593.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Blues | 28c | 585.18$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blues | 13c | 563$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Blues | 31c | 548.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b098backed Blues | 31c | 530.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…9eb9backed Blues | 31c | 525.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed Blues | 31c | 525.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Blues | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Lightning | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…46ccbacked Blues | 31c | 508.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Blues | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Blues | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Blues | 31c | 500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues | 29c | 500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed Lightning | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 30c | 494.56$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Blues | 21c | 472.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blues | 16c | 457$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Lightningthis page
- Blues vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.