NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x036365251ef0f91e6a473ec2b24fe3bccd5bc14b62565e4d4d0603d63510421c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Flyers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flyers | 44c | 105,217$45,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,904.95 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 38c | 105,000$39,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres | 60c | 92,826$55,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,084.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Sabres | 57c | 65,944$37,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,552.21 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 56c | 31,938$17,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,052.91 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 56c | 25,069$14,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,952.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sabres | 43c | 24,474$10,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,950.05 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 56c | 23,912$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 58c | 23,453$13,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,880.72 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Sabres | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…b24ebacked Sabres | 57c | 16,500$9,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,094.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 48c | 14,301$6,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,872.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Flyers | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers | 43c | 11,494$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.42 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sabres | 57c | 10,162$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.59 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flyers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sabres | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flyers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 43c | 9,403$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flyers | 43c | 8,471$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.53 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Sabres | 56c | 7,563$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.01 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sabres | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Flyers | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.95 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sabres | 76c | 5,949$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.28 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 43c | 5,023$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flyers | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Flyers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Flyers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Sabres | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Sabres | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.95 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 43c | 4,480$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.51 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 43c | 4,095$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.28 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 57c | 3,720$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 45c | 3,702$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 42c | 3,600$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.93 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,504$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.72 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Flyers | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Flyers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Flyers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,533$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flyers | 42c | 2,519$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.71 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Sabres | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Flyers | 43c | 2,227$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.61 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…a97bbacked Flyers | 45c | 2,130$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…502fbacked Sabres | 55c | 2,126$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 42c | 2,006$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.41 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Flyers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 32c | 1,993$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.95 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 43c | 1,970$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sabres | 55c | 1,966$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.07 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 46c | 1,826$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…0acabacked Sabres | 59c | 1,777$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…8f18backed Flyers | 42c | 1,777$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Flyers | 42c | 1,636$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Flyers | 4c | 1,583$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Sabres | 54c | 1,469$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 55c | 1,377$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.75 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 56c | 1,244$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.21 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Sabres | 57c | 1,190$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,108$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.36 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Sabres | 41c | 1,061$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.98 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Sabres | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Flyers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Sabres | 52c | 994.99$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Flyers | 6c | 946.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 44c | 909.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 75c | 900$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Sabres | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Sabres | 59c | 805.08$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 58c | 778.74$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.45 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 49c | 740$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 76c | 735.33$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Flyers | 53c | 734.5$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 13c | 712.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 44c | 709$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 44c | 699.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Flyers | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…5827backed Sabres | 58c | 681.03$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Flyers | 43c | 680.56$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 43c | 649.88$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Sabres | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 44c | 579.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.23 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 54c | 575.17$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.58 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Flyers | 57c | 522$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 56c | 521$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Sabres | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sabres | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Flyers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Flyers | 43c | 496.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Flyers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Sabresthis page
- Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.