TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87b6…4ababacked Over46c21,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,868.214452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20027454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under55c18,167$9,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,991.0886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Over47c17,000$7,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0101346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Under53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Over43c14,460$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,242.359245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c12,401$5,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,922.191,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c9,434$5,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,094.5575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under56c8,483$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.3324652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c5,812$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.8456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over44c5,669$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,16853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under57c4,600$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…2190backed Under56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7106250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over45c2,604$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.214641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over80c2,480$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.182955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over44c2,123$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.7316648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c1,860$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.220661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over43c1,599$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.4326649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84019543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8557530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under3c1,300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40549.3%5 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c1,133$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under28c1,071$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c1,066$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.961,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over44c1,000$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Over53c941.15$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.735032%16 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.058540%34 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over41c608$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.852744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c504.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under49c460.8$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Under69c351.63$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.453831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over13c314.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17114060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over40c290$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0911265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Under63c247.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.811758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf604…c02ebacked Over48c218.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.852339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Under63c202.4$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9928151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick5cpaid+221.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c185$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.931450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.612057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.610752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c178.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3947348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under57c171.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.035954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over12c161.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.744768.1%32 W · 15 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Over26c147$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.784456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under64c142.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.558146.9%38 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under54c137.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2634652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Under80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-65.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over10c122$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.835648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.46752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.46755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.49757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.415556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2810547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under57c116.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Over44c113.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.118640.7%35 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c106$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.916349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over44c89.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.59875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under57c71.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4119651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9110…fdf0backed Over47c71.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over37c65.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.411225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.213357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.215453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.212458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under67c56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5231543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over47c42.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6614951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018350.3%92 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Over45c36.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.913070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010555.2%58 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.615054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under56c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.362133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x072a…0d8fbacked Over45c30.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.941717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce32…a145backed Over45c30.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.872630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Over45c30.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.872623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdd…0cc1backed Over45c30.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.872025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8882…d04cbacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7911260.7%68 W · 44 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.