TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Eagles, Commanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Commanders53c328,540$174,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,226.211145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Eagles47c288,401$135,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,136.1686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Eagles47c41,800$19,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,153.9227454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Commanders54c40,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles47c23,438$10,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,506.21,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Eagles47c15,429$7,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,177.4811445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles46c11,361$5,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,134.7883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Eagles46c10,578$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.5623937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Commanders53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles47c8,221$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.1347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Commanders53c7,556$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.5617454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Commanders53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Eagles47c3,467$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.366645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Commanders53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5908551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Commanders54c2,536$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.511255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Eagles47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders53c2,100$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Commanders53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Commanders54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.620661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Eagles47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7957530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Commanders53c1,447$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.2465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Commanders54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Commanders46c837.24$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Eagles49c835.48$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.483831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7402…31eabacked Commanders54c833.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Commanders12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Commanders52c821.17$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.0131240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Commanders53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735f…0e5bbacked Commanders36c702$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.71717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Commanders53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37117251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Eagles47c693$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8736341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Eagles57c650.88$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Commanders56c571.43$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207741.6%32 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles46c520.93$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Commanders54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Commanders53c499.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9816139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Eagles45c400$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21911545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Commanders53c392.45$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20816351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Eagles48c345.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7412850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Commanders22c342.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Commanders54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Commanders53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9920542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Eagles47c274.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4720354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Commanders53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eagles47c223.32$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Commanders54c217$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1815746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Eagles47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Eagles47c208.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.417841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Eagles48c200.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.468856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Eagles47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10620632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Commanders53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1068350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Eagles48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Eagles47c193.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.652441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Commanders53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles46c188.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Commanders54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8155345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eagles57c123$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8935648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Commanders54c112.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619651%49 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7be6…436ebacked Eagles47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Eagles47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles48c105.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1916645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Eagles48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.175444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Commanders63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6364747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Commanders64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Eagles48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…b15bbacked Commanders53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Eagles63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3320757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Eagles48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5219654.1%106 W · 90 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Commanders53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Eagles46c90.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0634652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Commanders35c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0528151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Commanders52c78.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0916349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Eagles55c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.654768.1%32 W · 15 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Commanders53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Eagles48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.926225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Commanders54c70.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Commanders53c64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9232043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders50c61.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…4217backed Commanders53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Commanders55c52.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.97147.9%34 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Eagles48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Commanders53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.515353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Eagles43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.59948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Eagles47c46.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Eagles47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Eagles47c41.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0710252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Eagles47c38.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2410256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Commanders53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Commanders53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Commanders59c37.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.021225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Eagles47c36.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…b8a0backed Commanders55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206850%34 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Commanders53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0814844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Eagles48c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.334647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Eagles43c31.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8212447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Eagles48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.255341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eagles52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.434247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9b…f0f3backed Commanders48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Eagles48c29.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.563857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1c4…cd07backed Commanders53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.