NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a03234369ccbbb55c0bc00211d813dfd59af194e472ab078256cd0a7e321a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Eagles | 54c | 198,293$107,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,214.89 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Commanders | 45c | 178,547$80,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,824.58 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Commanders | 46c | 171,048$78,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,681.99 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eagles | 55c | 107,082$58,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,412.74 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 48c | 76,406$36,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,676.04 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Eagles | 52c | 72,855$37,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,011.95 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…7b84backed Eagles | 55c | 61,773$33,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,797.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Commanders | 46c | 61,682$28,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,373.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Eagles | 54c | 61,000$32,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,060 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Commanders | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles | 54c | 47,208$25,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,536.51 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Commanders | 46c | 42,765$19,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,671.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Eagles | 55c | 41,624$22,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,749.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Commanders | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Eagles | 55c | 30,000$16,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,650 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eagles | 54c | 29,712$16,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,668.31 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Commanders | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Commanders | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Commanders | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Eagles | 54c | 19,091$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 46c | 17,044$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810.12 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Eagles | 53c | 17,000$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Commanders | 45c | 15,246$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860.83 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Commanders | 46c | 12,642$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Eagles | 55c | 10,909$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.09 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Commanders | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Commanders | 46c | 9,781$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Eagles | 54c | 8,900$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Commanders | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Eagles | 54c | 5,540$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.9 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Eagles | 54c | 5,520$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.2 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Eagles | 54c | 5,377$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.37 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Commanders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Eagles | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Eagles | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Commanders | 13c | 4,772$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.51 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Commanders | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Eagles | 53c | 4,045$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Commanders | 46c | 3,090$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Eagles | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Commanders | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Commanders | 46c | 2,728$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Commanders | 46c | 2,671$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Commanders | 46c | 2,632$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Eagles | 54c | 2,426$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Commanders | 46c | 2,404$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Commanders | 46c | 2,402$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Commanders | 48c | 2,385$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.57 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Eagles | 54c | 2,268$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Eagles | 54c | 2,243$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Eagles | 54c | 2,238$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Eagles | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Eagles | 54c | 2,221$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Eagles | 54c | 2,098$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Eagles | 54c | 2,049$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Eagles | 54c | 2,044$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Eagles | 54c | 2,042$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Eagles | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…d376backed Eagles | 54c | 2,010$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Commanders | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Commanders | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.88 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Eagles | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Commanders | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Commanders | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Commanders | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 48c | 1,467$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.38 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Commanders | 46c | 1,455$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.3 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Eagles | 54c | 1,420$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Eagles | 47c | 1,409$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.16 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Eagles | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Eagles | 55c | 1,361$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.71 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Commanders | 49c | 1,352$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.57 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Eagles | 54c | 1,251$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Eagles | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Eagles | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Commanders | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Commanders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Commanders | 46c | 969.57$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Commanders | 47c | 821.28$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Eagles | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…3258backed Commanders | 46c | 796.93$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Eagles | 55c | 788.4$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.78 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Commanders | 18c | 766.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eagles | 78c | 747.71$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Eagles | 55c | 727.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Commanders | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Commanders | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Eagles | 54c | 680$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Eagles | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Eagles | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Commanders | 48c | 519.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eagles | 54c | 516.8$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…4064backed Commanders | 46c | 501.63$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Commanders | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Eagles | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Eagles | 54c | 499.95$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Commanders | 48c | 467.83$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Eagles | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Commanders won
- Eagles vs. CommandersEagles won
- Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCommanders won
- Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 44.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-5.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.