NFL · resolved market
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e51982d7c1559b33bef36000d94b4ece828b8a81c968cc49d971f88d346a0e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb5…6ba7backed Yes | 47c | 40,037$18,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,817.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…dc8fbacked No | 53c | 40,037$21,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,817.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0382backed Yes | 47c | 38,297$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…0054backed No | 53c | 38,297$20,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…ced1backed No | 53c | 37,827$20,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,778.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…8a4fbacked Yes | 47c | 37,827$17,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,778.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…298cbacked No | 52c | 35,209$18,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,900.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…9bc5backed Yes | 48c | 35,209$16,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,900.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0132…dfdabacked No | 53c | 32,678$17,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,358.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…651bbacked Yes | 47c | 32,678$15,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,358.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa37…ba66backed Yes | 48c | 32,107$15,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,411.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…a24bbacked No | 52c | 32,107$16,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,411.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…82abbacked No | 53c | 26,879$14,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,633.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…18c8backed Yes | 47c | 26,879$12,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,633.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 51c | 19,059$9,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,806.77 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 67c | 8,089$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.65 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 51c | 3,594$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.85 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 47c | 3,570$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.76 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,949$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.43 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 78c | 1,915$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.57 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,906$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.64 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 25c | 1,790$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.69 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,777$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.06 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 41c | 1,391$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.22 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Yes | 51c | 1,306$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.18 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 49c | 1,300$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 50c | 1,275$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.86 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 45c | 1,238$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 37c | 1,121$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.52 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,004$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 74c | 998.51$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.9 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…9f50backed Yes | 50c | 969$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 45c | 920.32$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.79 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 68c | 897.33$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 59c | 897$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 27c | 844.24$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 64c | 754.55$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.08 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…6638backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes | 22c | 714.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 50c | 712.39$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…7aebbacked Yes | 38c | 703.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 78c | 647.48$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed Yes | 63c | 636.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 58c | 636.14$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 525.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 26c | 486.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 29c | 455.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.04 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 47c | 454.61$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 78c | 438.34$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 62c | 427.19$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 419.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…6631backed Yes | 78c | 417.48$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 53c | 355.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 43c | 307.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed No | 13c | 297.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0658…03ebbacked No | 30c | 275$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 261.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21a…c6bdbacked No | 24c | 259$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 51c | 258.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…388bbacked No | 24c | 239$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 62c | 236.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed Yes | 71c | 236$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…5970backed No | 30c | 232$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked Yes | 28c | 230$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 73c | 219.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d27…20aebacked No | 24c | 218$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 46c | 215.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…3e20backed No | 30c | 199$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 196.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 41c | 195.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked No | 17c | 178.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 58c | 167.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…5662backed No | 30c | 162$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 66c | 159.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked Yes | 34c | 158.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…3197backed No | 30c | 157$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…b1c2backed No | 30c | 139$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ce70backed No | 30c | 136$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…95c1backed Yes | 13c | 135.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eed…56debacked No | 24c | 134$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 22c | 127.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…db8abacked Yes | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…f59dbacked Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +282.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7945backed No | 24c | 117$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 51c | 111.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…053abacked No | 23c | 108$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…63ffbacked Yes | 72c | 107$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…a715backed No | 30c | 106$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…5b47backed No | 24c | 106$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…9881backed No | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…c95abacked Yes | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?this page
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win the NFC South?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.