NFL · resolved market
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f2c98c1dbb7576d2529d1e212cedc0fb431c4d1fdcf5195b36fbc7c000cf57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Yes | 16c | 10,760$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 50c | 8,120$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.32 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 6,877$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.09 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 22c | 4,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.38 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 41c | 4,258$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.24 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 52c | 3,449$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 74c | 3,280$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 57c | 2,627$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.64 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,861$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 54c | 1,590$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.1 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes | 59c | 1,450$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…3071backed No | 46c | 1,348$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,112$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.22 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 80c | 1,103$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.63 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,083$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.6 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked No | 22c | 934$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 15c | 908.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.48 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed No | 66c | 820$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 30c | 798.81$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 75c | 682$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 48c | 674.61$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 16c | 653.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 53c | 611.01$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 555$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked Yes | 73c | 527.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 513$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.96 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.49 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 20c | 467.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.87 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Yes | 40c | 451.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 22c | 407.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 48c | 406.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 18c | 400$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.33 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…0143backed Yes | 19c | 390$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…849bbacked Yes | 14c | 373$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +249.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…9c54backed Yes | 24c | 342$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…cec0backed Yes | 30c | 305.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 28c | 303.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 62c | 298.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 75c | 286.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 79c | 262.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 19c | 262.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 34c | 245.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed No | 71c | 228.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 73c | 218.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…7239backed Yes | 68c | 209.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 9c | 209.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…d0b4backed Yes | 25c | 197$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 196.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Yes | 19c | 186.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 32c | 186.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…4676backed Yes | 23c | 184$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…ff8abacked No | 39c | 182.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 42c | 160.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 139$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 30c | 137.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…2003backed No | 30c | 133.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…e9ebbacked No | 76c | 132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…38d8backed Yes | 24c | 129$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…755ebacked Yes | 17c | 128.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 17cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…930fbacked Yes | 25c | 122$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…5587backed Yes | 20c | 121$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…8e78backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…39e4backed Yes | 24c | 117$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 24cpaid | +325.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bb18backed Yes | 14c | 113$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +497.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…2838backed Yes | 20c | 113$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…ada6backed Yes | 20c | 109$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 107.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…7293backed Yes | 25c | 107$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked Yes | 67c | 106.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…3969backed No | 76c | 105$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…f96fbacked No | 76c | 105$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…1567backed Yes | 25c | 101$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 72c | 100.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…d758backed Yes | 79c | 100.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…4e70backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…a268backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…58d6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…c3e2backed Yes | 31c | 97.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…991cbacked Yes | 20c | 97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107b…da56backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Yes | 21c | 95.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…1eb0backed Yes | 14c | 95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +599.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…13b5backed Yes | 54c | 94.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 42c | 93.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…b082backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c828backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…15fcbacked Yes | 25c | 89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ec7fbacked Yes | 20c | 88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +218.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…fd94backed Yes | 24c | 88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b7…c872backed Yes | 14c | 84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +404.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?this page
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win the NFC South?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.