TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Panthers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Panthers, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$460,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$465,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Saints48c143,272$68,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,804.6486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Saints48c116,176$56,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,849.565152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Panthers51c106,924$55,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,061.3627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Saints50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers51c58,027$29,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,650.8947348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Panthers50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Panthers52c26,111$13,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,577.877657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Saints49c24,481$11,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,485.2324957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Panthers52c23,044$11,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,983.121254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers51c21,711$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,160.4944652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Panthers52c19,236$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.0213560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers51c11,398$5,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Saints47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Panthers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Panthers51c8,885$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.3519651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Panthers53c8,193$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.22263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saints50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000.0156852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Panthers53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7102454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Panthers53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers51c4,366$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.8753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Panthers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Panthers51c2,998$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.8526650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers53c2,524$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.971,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Saints50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Panthers52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Panthers52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Panthers50c1,680$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Panthers51c1,632$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.561573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1939754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Panthers52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7804351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers49c1,499$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.3350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Panthers51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6637534.7%26 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Panthers51c1,248$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.4214248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Panthers52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Panthers52c1,074$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8110156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Saints50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Panthers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Panthers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Saints49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5107150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Saints50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Panthers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbc…11cebacked Panthers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Panthers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Panthers54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4861631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Panthers52c896.65$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.967749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Panthers50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saints47c798.29$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Panthers52c769.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Panthers52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Panthers53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3182045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Panthers52c585.35$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.512347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Panthers52c580$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.23056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Panthers53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Panthers53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Panthers51c529.94$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2753253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Panthers51c506.12$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Saints51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Panthers50c500$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Saints47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26539242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Panthers50c494$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2474257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Saints48c486.4$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…8253backed Panthers53c484.44$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.751637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Panthers53c471.66$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.983145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Panthers53c425$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2515746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Saints49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Panthers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Panthers51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Panthers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Panthers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Panthers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Panthers51c386$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8631450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833e…f756backed Panthers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Panthers50c370.06$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.034126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Panthers52c369$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8113959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Panthers52c340$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.64748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Saints49c327$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7730442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Panthers54c307.55$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.56647%31 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Panthers53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Panthers54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Panthers49c277.55$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362114.3%3 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-72.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Panthers52c277$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2917656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Panthers51c249.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4720650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Panthers51c249.02$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Panthers52c233$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4516957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ea6…a8c5backed Panthers53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…532bbacked Panthers51c222.12$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.281233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Panthers49c208.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Panthers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10627835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Panthers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Panthers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Panthers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Panthers53c198.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Panthers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Panthers52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.810752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Panthers53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.75954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Panthers52c189$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4114060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c47…8d6dbacked Panthers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.