CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5f8ee61b6c328351b9b2334227326e47d0c49aa14a9546505d528d7555fdf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked ShindeN | 69c | 10,001$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.18 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fluxo | 33c | 4,171$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.92 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Fluxo | 38c | 2,327$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.69 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fluxo | 31c | 1,600$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo | 29c | 1,545$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked ShindeN | 33c | 1,066$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.51 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Fluxo | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Fluxo | 39c | 640$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN | 36c | 521$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Fluxo | 66c | 313.63$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fluxo | 63c | 258$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Fluxo | 53c | 203.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ShindeN | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed ShindeN | 55c | 137.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed Fluxo | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ShindeN | 34c | 91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Fluxo | 43c | 81.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked ShindeN | 57c | 63.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Fluxo | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Fluxo | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ShindeN | 60c | 28.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ShindeN | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Fluxo | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ShindeN | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Fluxo | 54c | 18.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Fluxo | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.