CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e1ef6fe98db05194db660efc8dcb53ac41bf6d97e6d4f6fda4ae2098088a757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed FUT Esports | 70c | 2,477$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.23 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked K27 | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 78c | 1,325$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed K27 | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed K27 | 12c | 515.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed K27 | 21c | 501$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 489.97$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed FUT Esports | 79c | 254.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked K27 | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed K27 | 30c | 160.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed K27 | 26c | 114.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked K27 | 30c | 107.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed K27 | 30c | 107.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed K27 | 30c | 101.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked K27 | 30c | 68.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed K27 | 22c | 56.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…3909backed K27 | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed K27 | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed K27 | 30c | 42.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…6deebacked FUT Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed K27 | 30c | 39.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed FUT Esports | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed FUT Esports | 73c | 27.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.