CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9fbb4671ab3ddada71e54a48e187a73c418c6ea7f12764378c023c06b26e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof ALLINNERS, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed illwill | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.1 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…7acfbacked ALLINNERS | 34c | 1,328$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked ALLINNERS | 23c | 1,111$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ALLINNERS | 27c | 846.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked ALLINNERS | 17c | 839.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked ALLINNERS | 25c | 530.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked ALLINNERS | 39c | 510.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…767fbacked ALLINNERS | 23c | 461.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed illwill | 67c | 360.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 78c | 239.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…547ebacked ALLINNERS | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed illwill | 71c | 207.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ALLINNERS | 26c | 153.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 136.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed ALLINNERS | 38c | 131.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed illwill | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 91.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…33d1backed ALLINNERS | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed illwill | 76c | 74.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed illwill | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed illwill | 78c | 53.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ALLINNERS | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed illwill | 70c | 46.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed ALLINNERS | 27c | 40.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed illwill | 72c | 36.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ALLINNERS | 48c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f89abacked illwill | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked illwill | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed illwill | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed illwill | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed illwill | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed illwill | 63c | 25.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed illwill | 78c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed illwill | 73c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed illwill | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed illwill | 79c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed illwill | 69c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.