Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556983a2e0d1875a96212c8f5d15a84069786fc63e706514c5ee27bba10579eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 11c | 9,378$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.89 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 6,664$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 2,382$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.27 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 47c | 1,812$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.3 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 39c | 1,476$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.77 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 60c | 544.3$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.41 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 33c | 499.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 59c | 398.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.77 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 11c | 388.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 40c | 336.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 61c | 211.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes | 62c | 165.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…231dbacked Yes | 79c | 127.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 36c | 122.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 24c | 109.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 59c | 108.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 22c | 105.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 60c | 100.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 61c | 82.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Yes | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 56.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 45c | 44.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 59c | 31.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 58c | 26.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…58c8backed Yes | 65c | 26.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…eb4bbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…910dbacked Yes | 60c | 22.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.