Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Giustino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a63f5c33e75a0030c3fd8451854ff10401bbea028bd37cf7aa5dc194030acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Franco Roncadelli, Lorenzo Giustino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Lorenzo Giustino | 42c | 45,970$19,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,525.7 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Franco Roncadelli | 56c | 29,797$16,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Franco Roncadelli | 59c | 4,570$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 41c | 4,310$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 2,484$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.42 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 57c | 1,768$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.47 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Lorenzo Giustino | 47c | 1,292$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.3 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 869.56$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.3 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Franco Roncadelli | 54c | 765.61$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.56 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 734.67$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.93 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lorenzo Giustino | 45c | 703.38$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Franco Roncadelli | 71c | 630.1$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Franco Roncadelli | 52c | 536.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 516.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 482.85$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.46 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Franco Roncadelli | 45c | 481.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Franco Roncadelli | 54c | 473.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 18c | 424$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lorenzo Giustino | 52c | 408.64$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Lorenzo Giustino | 38c | 366.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 363.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 291.73$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Franco Roncadelli | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Franco Roncadelli | 60c | 255.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Franco Roncadelli | 26c | 245$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 62c | 220.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Lorenzo Giustino | 55c | 190$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 168.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 157.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 144.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 47c | 125.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Franco Roncadelli | 45c | 115.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685c…b626backed Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 97.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 37c | 95.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Lorenzo Giustino | 54c | 73.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Franco Roncadelli | 27c | 73.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…1cd8backed Lorenzo Giustino | 67c | 71.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 69.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lorenzo Giustino | 60c | 67.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 73c | 67.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Franco Roncadelli | 47c | 60.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 64c | 53.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 50c | 52.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 51.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…22a4backed Lorenzo Giustino | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Franco Roncadelli | 56c | 50.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lorenzo Giustino | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Franco Roncadelli | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Lorenzo Giustino | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Franco Roncadelli | 61c | 47.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Lorenzo Giustino | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Franco Roncadelli | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Giustino | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…9a66backed Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 38.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 58c | 37.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Lorenzo Giustino | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 32.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Franco Roncadelli | 56c | 32.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 32.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Franco Roncadelli | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lorenzo Giustino | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Giustino | 65c | 26.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lorenzo Giustino | 53c | 24.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 55c | 22.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Giustino | 54c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Franco Roncadelli | 67c | 20.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Lorenzo Giustino | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Lorenzo Giustino | 57c | 18.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.