MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148b88f982133ddc1db816f10f11511ee5b5326170da0fe408c85729bcd8522d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2728…4f96backed NC Dinos | 41c | 609.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 50c | 549.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 16c | 460.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 67c | 400.01$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked NC Dinos | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 51c | 286.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 66c | 285.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 50c | 284.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 50c | 238.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…a00dbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 226.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 21c | 193.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed NC Dinos | 52c | 155.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 15c | 130.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed NC Dinos | 51c | 125.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed NC Dinos | 48c | 109.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 109.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SSG Landers | 76c | 100.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed NC Dinos | 21c | 97.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 78c | 91.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…6795backed NC Dinos | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NC Dinos | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 77c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NC Dinos | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed NC Dinos | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked NC Dinos | 21c | 49.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed NC Dinos | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked SSG Landers | 80c | 44.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed NC Dinos | 35c | 42.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 53c | 40.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SSG Landers | 46c | 39.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SSG Landers | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SSG Landers | 80c | 35.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed SSG Landers | 67c | 32.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked NC Dinos | 49c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed NC Dinos | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 80c | 24.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked SSG Landers | 71c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…36d3backed NC Dinos | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…0a40backed SSG Landers | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…3f98backed NC Dinos | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…bac8backed NC Dinos | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…5fabbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…e690backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…b298backed SSG Landers | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.