Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2188c14efbef0ed00f026a6771bc7860e8f3d1da6308020bf9b18315557a646f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 26,697$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,802.02 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 24,520$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,582.76 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 17,293$11,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,268.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 46c | 17,143$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 37c | 8,645$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.85 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 37c | 5,999$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.49 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 1c | 5,541$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 47c | 4,215$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked No | 63c | 2,101$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 41c | 2,010$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 59c | 1,990$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 1,544$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 29c | 1,458$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 67c | 1,281$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 15c | 1,243$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 38c | 1,117$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.86 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 65c | 1,039$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.62 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,004$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.17 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 982.2$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.69 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed No | 57c | 782.06$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 36c | 702.78$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.78 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 64c | 699.98$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.98 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 71c | 669.16$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 605.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 46c | 597.83$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 38c | 551.47$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 63c | 511.36$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 510.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Yes | 42c | 502.51$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 38c | 472.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 36c | 471.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…01aebacked Yes | 35c | 419.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 37c | 388.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 35c | 381.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 375$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 66c | 361.73$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 42c | 357.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 59c | 357.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 338.31$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Yes | 79c | 331.24$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 36c | 324.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 64c | 313.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed Yes | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 22c | 295.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 290.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 32c | 289.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 259.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 71c | 255.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 78c | 250.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 37c | 240.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 66c | 233$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 59c | 221.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked No | 68c | 220.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 29c | 211.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 27c | 181.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…22febacked No | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 167.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 161.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 64c | 155.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Yes | 34c | 155.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…30babacked Yes | 35c | 147.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…7ff2backed Yes | 36c | 144.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 55c | 123.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 60c | 117.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Yes | 30c | 111.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 40c | 109$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…15febacked No | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 28c | 104.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will Angola win on 2025-12-22?No won
- Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.