TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c20,318$8,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.129742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c16,940$7,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,459.9939637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No55c14,813$8,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,665.7411949.6%59 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c13,525$10,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.587,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c12,988$10,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.325,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c10,884$7,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.872,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c10,273$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.941,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c7,329$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.312,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c5,685$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.938651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No57c4,335$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.116547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes36c4,000$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.95048%24 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb82…9c54backed Yes11c3,716$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0760%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes21c2,701$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7313330.1%40 W · 93 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed Yes33c2,060$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8602646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.976445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes36c1,936$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes9c1,694$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1493231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes8c1,511$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.21728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c81…eda9backed Yes44c1,508$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes20c1,122$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4624242.1%102 W · 140 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes44c1,121$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6543546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes28c1,045$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.368458.3%49 W · 35 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes43c930.44$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0914137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c915.23$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.361,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b3…4d23backed Yes31c768.12$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.222254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes10c668.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9185340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No57c651.75$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2549046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Yes43c565.12$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes43c545$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3523256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes33c536.36$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No57c530$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.611136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes45c515.56$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…8359backed Yes7c494.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes5c479.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.011,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005217.3%9 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes23c440$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes23c430.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes12c425.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1313426.1%35 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c416.11$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.081,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Yes4c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410263.7%65 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes17c375.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.43946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Yes42c370.13$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.461850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c16…39c7backed Yes20c353.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes5c352.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.153327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b5…0f8cbacked Yes19c346.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c346.17$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9183440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes42c345$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.94465.9%29 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes42c337$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5423746.8%111 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes12c328.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes4c289.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9544768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c286.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12936647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca5…9e9abacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes25c241.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608257.3%47 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes37c241.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes43c232.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008733.3%29 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes43c219.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.183476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes42c216$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7229425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes15c208.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Yes46c203.39$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.56757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57660.5%46 W · 30 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+42%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0a…9718backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes16c188.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.83141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb497…a6c2backed Yes44c186.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No54c185.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9116953.8%91 W · 78 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes19c184$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.227545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes16c181.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes46c180.72$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.131030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes22c180$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed No56c178.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.053050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No56c167.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.813545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No75c165.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.223237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes16c158.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes15c155$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes44c153$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.323542.9%15 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.56457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes44c149$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.565438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes10c148.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59614.9%3 W · 58 L-17.3wins-0.28per pick33cpaid-83.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No78c146.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.753644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes17c137.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.976136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd107…28e1backed Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No56c135.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0625046.8%117 W · 133 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes30c133.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes24c133.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed No57c126.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes9c126$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.