CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x533d6879c7ab5621480a0f0616ac359828f6bcf9e8f074d78d4a3f6e868110ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed BESTIA | 65c | 5,533$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.56 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BESTIA | 68c | 2,974$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.93 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ODDIK | 17c | 1,803$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ODDIK | 35c | 1,680$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed ODDIK | 32c | 1,472$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…6f04backed ODDIK | 35c | 1,369$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ODDIK | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed ODDIK | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed ODDIK | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ODDIK | 34c | 733$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed ODDIK | 24c | 427.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -11.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ODDIK | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked BESTIA | 67c | 372.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed ODDIK | 35c | 346$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ODDIK | 33c | 325$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked BESTIA | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed ODDIK | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed ODDIK | 18c | 278.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked ODDIK | 32c | 267$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ODDIK | 5c | 228.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked BESTIA | 68c | 147.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed ODDIK | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BESTIA | 78c | 117.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed ODDIK | 29c | 103.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed ODDIK | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ODDIK | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed ODDIK | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed ODDIK | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed ODDIK | 32c | 63.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed ODDIK | 24c | 62.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed ODDIK | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed ODDIK | 32c | 50.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked ODDIK | 23c | 48.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked ODDIK | 23c | 48.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed ODDIK | 32c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed BESTIA | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked BESTIA | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…35b8backed BESTIA | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BESTIA | 68c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed BESTIA | 79c | 12.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ODDIK - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.