TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52d8…99aebacked No70c10,000$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.99859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c9,653$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c6,515$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.161,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c4,510$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c4,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c4,234$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No71c2,864$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.819763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes25c2,667$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes29c1,828$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1222125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes30c1,670$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49310626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No70c1,638$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4714147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,103$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30039156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No77c965.42$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6421965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Yes17c963.36$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes30c920.48$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.141020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes17c919.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2512345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No72c773.02$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.022373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No71c760.46$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…9b53backed Yes27c739.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c730.99$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.994564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes32c629.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7711446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No71c621.82$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.336015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No71c599.98$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes25c592.49$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No76c573.14$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes6c533.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc732…097bbacked Yes29c517.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ced…e074backed No68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.715100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c507.3$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.441,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c503.47$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0114754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No71c500$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.679246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes28c392.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8627454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes29c390$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.111945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes16c387.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2225530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes29c362.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed No71c338.21$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abb…452ebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No71c299.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed No77c278.68$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.172548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No71c267.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.615162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes30c265$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.55743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes28c238.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0630739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c238.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.521,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Yes30c228.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.622850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No70c218.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4210455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c216$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472a…9033backed No71c203$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c200.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes26c192.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No71c173.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2619357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda87…ca76backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes29c163.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7258445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed No72c159.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.571877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No71c150.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes26c133.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.835646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c125.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.222,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No71c125.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9115350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes32c119.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.699637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d04bbacked No71c118.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes11c118.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes22c114.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes22c110.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+51.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a0…e30abacked No71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c104.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308543.5%37 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f9…f3d4backed No71c102.82$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes26c102.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30aa…25f4backed Yes30c100.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296850%34 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3340157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes28c98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.445230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes23c95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No71c94.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.434955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes13c94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec7…485abacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.