CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f27a36a509f96a7e711979ab49b0a6417bb1bdb7b8936ff643f279aeec7e10

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ursaof Ursa, BC.Game Esports
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $106,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5877…d894backed Ursa	49c	20,285$9,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,362.08	79	43%34 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked BC.Game Esports	50c	10,051$5,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,025.53	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked BC.Game Esports	47c	9,566$4,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,525.24	95	53.7%51 W · 44 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BC.Game Esports	56c	6,340$3,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,538.5	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Ursa	59c	2,827$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170.68	1,033	61.6%636 W · 397 L	+87.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Ursa	42c	2,524$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.73	92	64.1%59 W · 33 L	+10.0wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed BC.Game Esports	58c	2,294$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59e…2b99backed Ursa	50c	2,186$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.78	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Ursa	32c	2,169$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.83	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ursa	43c	2,124$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.32	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed BC.Game Esports	53c	2,075$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	113	61.1%69 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Ursa	35c	1,718$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117.22	275	30.9%85 W · 190 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ursa	58c	1,675$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.33	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Ursa	73c	1,370$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.86	150	50.7%76 W · 74 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa	22c	1,341$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.88	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Ursa	63c	1,306$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.73	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked BC.Game Esports	50c	1,245$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.5	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Ursa	47c	1,210$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.51	980	52.4%514 W · 466 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Ursa	60c	1,176$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.45	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked BC.Game Esports	69c	1,123$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Ursa	49c	1,048$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.96	463	40.8%189 W · 274 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Ursa	67c	1,016$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.28	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed BC.Game Esports	41c	987.52$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed BC.Game Esports	48c	871$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.73	458	48.5%222 W · 236 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Ursa	30c	835.51$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.21	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed BC.Game Esports	44c	759.93$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.17	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcb…fe0ebacked BC.Game Esports	53c	711.48$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda5…53d7backed BC.Game Esports	54c	697.3$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.54	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…9594backed BC.Game Esports	48c	691.72$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.7	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Ursa	52c	612.53$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.48	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Ursa	44c	600$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339	398	51.3%204 W · 194 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5110…2695backed BC.Game Esports	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked BC.Game Esports	53c	565.4$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.58	362	45.3%164 W · 198 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed BC.Game Esports	65c	557.68$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BC.Game Esports	59c	503.85$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…c855backed BC.Game Esports	60c	503.71$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.56	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe089…f441backed Ursa	75c	461.07$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.97	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed BC.Game Esports	61c	448.12$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.95	225	54.7%123 W · 102 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed BC.Game Esports	54c	434.74$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.76	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Ursa	23c	400$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Ursa	29c	400$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284	223	58.7%131 W · 92 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed BC.Game Esports	75c	400$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	263	60.8%160 W · 103 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed BC.Game Esports	51c	354.08$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.34	197	32.5%64 W · 133 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Ursa	70c	343.69$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.95	209	52.6%110 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed Ursa	79c	329.11$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.11	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f9…1f57backed BC.Game Esports	66c	309.58$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.88	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BC.Game Esports	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	783	48.4%379 W · 404 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ursa	52c	292.72$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.64	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked BC.Game Esports	71c	281.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Ursa	37c	271.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.58	186	54.8%102 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed BC.Game Esports	79c	253.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Ursa	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	508	33.5%170 W · 338 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Ursa	41c	244.36$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.9	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked BC.Game Esports	78c	215.03$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	608	57.2%348 W · 260 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Ursa	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	204	62.7%128 W · 76 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BC.Game Esports	63c	200$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	817	51.7%422 W · 395 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked BC.Game Esports	54c	200$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked BC.Game Esports	50c	199.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-6.0wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BC.Game Esports	50c	175.08$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ursa	50c	171.14$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.15	698	63%440 W · 258 L	+65.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed BC.Game Esports	73c	170$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	471	65.2%307 W · 164 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x108f…1e56backed BC.Game Esports	79c	152.39$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	73cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ursa	33c	151.52$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.52	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed Ursa	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Ursa	69c	145.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.13	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed BC.Game Esports	79c	144$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.44	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked BC.Game Esports	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Ursa	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Ursa	40c	132.61$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed BC.Game Esports	30c	131.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed BC.Game Esports	52c	130$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Ursa	50c	129$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.5	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2c…e158backed BC.Game Esports	51c	129$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ursa	28c	117.63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.32	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda87…ca76backed Ursa	41c	116.06$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.94	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BC.Game Esports	76c	114$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.24	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked BC.Game Esports	53c	101.91$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.01	393	53.2%209 W · 184 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed BC.Game Esports	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked BC.Game Esports	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	148	20.3%30 W · 118 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d49…f536backed Ursa	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Ursa	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed BC.Game Esports	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	932	61.7%575 W · 357 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed BC.Game Esports	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	169	50.9%86 W · 83 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ursa	19c	94.6$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.24	176	48.3%85 W · 91 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71db…f4f6backed BC.Game Esports	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Ursa	40c	89.95$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.02	275	56.7%156 W · 119 L	+14.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked BC.Game Esports	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed BC.Game Esports	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	374	48.4%181 W · 193 L	-16.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Ursa	26c	76$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc967…5a9cbacked BC.Game Esports	53c	75.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed BC.Game Esports	44c	71.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.04	291	53.6%156 W · 135 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe71c…0d30backed Ursa	42c	70$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.6	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed BC.Game Esports	42c	66.58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	+29.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed BC.Game Esports	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	86	29.1%25 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Ursa	24c	59.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.39	250	45.2%113 W · 137 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Ursa	40c	59.54$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.82	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BC.Game Esports	72c	59.01$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Ursa	23c	58.51$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Ursa	27c	57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.61	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed BC.Game Esports	56c	54.48$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event