CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa268395d63a10aa27c3af912ddbc38938130e363ff8ebb271b2d4471391bcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BC.Game Esports | 66c | 1,652$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…fe0ebacked Ursa | 35c | 710.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Ursa | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BC.Game Esports | 66c | 494.12$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.12 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Ursa | 34c | 489.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Ursa | 41c | 486.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Ursa | 56c | 420$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Ursa | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed BC.Game Esports | 76c | 396.87$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.76 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed BC.Game Esports | 56c | 331.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Ursa | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed BC.Game Esports | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Ursa | 25c | 215.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ursa | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ursa | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BC.Game Esports | 55c | 174$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 35c | 148.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…6e2bbacked BC.Game Esports | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed BC.Game Esports | 56c | 122$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed Ursa | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Ursa | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed BC.Game Esports | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed BC.Game Esports | 75c | 58.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BC.Game Esports | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed BC.Game Esports | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Ursa | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed BC.Game Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked BC.Game Esports | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked BC.Game Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…be47backed BC.Game Esports | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier PlayoffsUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.