Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Kyoka Okamura vs Lanlana Tararudee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x812f094ddf57f3bb7f0328163a0c74b6c901987bae935ca5614acc99af611ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lanlana Tararudeeof Kyoka Okamura, Lanlana Tararudee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 9c | 19,622$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.18 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kyoka Okamura | 17c | 12,500$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.98 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Kyoka Okamura | 27c | 9,787$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.54 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kyoka Okamura | 17c | 8,824$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kyoka Okamura | 14c | 4,149$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.81 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kyoka Okamura | 8c | 3,637$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kyoka Okamura | 14c | 2,339$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.76 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 16c | 2,252$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.33 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…43afbacked Lanlana Tararudee | 78c | 1,619$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lanlana Tararudee | 77c | 1,370$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.3 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kyoka Okamura | 9c | 1,050$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Kyoka Okamura | 15c | 910.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kyoka Okamura | 8c | 848.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Kyoka Okamura | 7c | 687.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 486 | 30.9%150 W · 336 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…4bc1backed Kyoka Okamura | 23c | 370.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kyoka Okamura | 11c | 253.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Kyoka Okamura | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Kyoka Okamura | 16c | 214.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kyoka Okamura | 18c | 203.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kyoka Okamura | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kyoka Okamura | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…0b3cbacked Kyoka Okamura | 13c | 180.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Kyoka Okamura | 9c | 152.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Kyoka Okamura | 9c | 145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…8022backed Lanlana Tararudee | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kyoka Okamura | 16c | 98.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Kyoka Okamura | 18c | 96.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Kyoka Okamura | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Lanlana Tararudee | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Lanlana Tararudee | 76c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Lanlana Tararudee | 71c | 32.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Lanlana Tararudee | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Lanlana Tararudee | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 76cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul 2: Kyoka Okamura vs Lanlana Tararudeethis page
- Okamura vs. Tararudee: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.