Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Ostapenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf711595865dffec80aea976c569dbf0c568eac270b06119bb12bde591c7b59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zakharovaof Zakharova, Ostapenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Zakharova | 41c | 1,990$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Ostapenko | 59c | 1,990$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Zakharova | 50c | 633.63$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.63 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Ostapenko | 50c | 610.63$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Ostapenko | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…0789backed Ostapenko | 38c | 131.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Ostapenko | 56c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Ostapenko | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Zakharova | 42c | 93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zakharova | 61c | 66.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Ostapenko | 35c | 56.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Zakharova | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Zakharova | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Zakharova | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Zakharova | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Zakharova | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Zakharova | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Zakharova | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Ostapenko | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Zakharova | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ostapenko | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Ostapenko | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Ostapenko | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Ostapenkothis page
- Qatar Total Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko won
- Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Zakharova (+1.5)Zakharova won
- Zakharova vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zakharova vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Zakharova vs. Ostapenko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Zakharova vs. Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.