College Football · resolved market
LSU vs. Houston: O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9cdd77c40ff13837a1c393b4f640895fab463094666af3ae6feb139d0a01b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 47c | 8,840$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.57 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 6,909$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.63 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 6,198$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.92 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,834$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.87 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 765$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.85 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 48c | 52.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU vs. Houston: O/U 42.5this page
- LSU vs. HoustonHouston won
- LSU vs. Houston: 1H MoneylineHouston won
- O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Houston (-1.5)Houston won
- Spread: Houston (-2.5)Houston won
- Spread: Houston (-3.5)LSU won
- Spread: Houston (-3.5)LSU won
- Spread: LSU (-0.5)Houston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.