TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

LSU vs. Houston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houstonof LSU, Houston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,256,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,318,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,256,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed LSU44c123,402$54,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,707.9315352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f6…e0debacked Houston51c86,524$44,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,258.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked LSU10c67,703$7,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,055.5824229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed LSU1c65,178$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.7813149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Houston65c56,053$36,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,496.86838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed LSU25c50,000$12,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,460.7427246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Houston53c47,366$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,365.7519362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LSU20c45,713$8,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,996.9321538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed LSU33c36,002$11,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,936.3913933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LSU30c32,095$9,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,472.919842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Houston51c27,508$14,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,47911846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LSU34c27,310$9,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,217.7662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Houston52c21,710$11,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,420.643275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LSU25c20,223$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,017.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed LSU48c20,000$9,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,55039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed LSU47c18,184$8,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,517.3593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked LSU48c17,278$8,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,342.8411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Houston77c17,231$13,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-81.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53d1…eaf4backed LSU0c16,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LSU43c15,465$6,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,722.2158850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked LSU27c13,350$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Houston55c12,629$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,628.942842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Houston52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Houston74c9,975$7,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.19771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Houston55c9,558$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,337.941844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Houston52c9,110$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.9721055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Houston79c8,516$6,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Houston67c8,460$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.7623751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed LSU48c8,080$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.5222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Houston77c7,816$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.4915451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed LSU0c7,521$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked LSU16c7,416$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.5840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed LSU48c6,121$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.0810848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Houston41c6,026$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.715152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed LSU60c5,947$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.8626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed LSU50c5,812$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.0611541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed LSU24c5,202$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.97825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Houston52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40015751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…c5f3backed LSU28c4,911$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed LSU35c4,909$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.161520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LSU31c4,641$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.8263243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Houston51c4,561$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed LSU48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9819849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Houston56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Houston53c3,553$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.6816234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed LSU28c3,540$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5926940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU47c3,314$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.1548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed LSU9c3,281$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Houston52c3,211$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.2152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked LSU47c3,200$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.942,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed LSU5c3,116$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.53330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed LSU47c3,053$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.919457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed LSU31c2,951$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.520553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed LSU36c2,927$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.713845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston74c2,895$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.2740244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Houston53c2,758$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.3511851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a9…be15backed LSU27c2,644$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.59742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked LSU48c2,639$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.6630949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked LSU43c2,552$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.129124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Houston68c2,503$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.36875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Houston50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2504643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Houston80c2,254$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.095556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed LSU30c2,169$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.8986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked LSU44c2,158$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.558749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Houston76c2,150$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5163959%23 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf4…ea97backed Houston48c2,090$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Houston51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9807448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57dc…5903backed LSU49c1,960$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c4…e05abacked Houston79c1,960$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…9a68backed Houston51c1,948$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x491e…bb0bbacked Houston52c1,941$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…5301backed LSU49c1,941$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Houston66c1,901$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.788043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed LSU23c1,838$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Houston51c1,708$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.899051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed LSU49c1,554$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.227642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed LSU27c1,553$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.294833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaae…4da8backed Houston51c1,538$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed LSU53c1,511$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked LSU48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72013417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Houston51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7352650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Houston59c1,394$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed LSU41c1,354$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Houston74c1,349$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.396753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Houston56c1,347$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.838627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Houston54c1,261$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.1950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked LSU1c1,247$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae8…3ee1backed LSU33c1,152$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.231225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Houston46c1,082$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2511221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Houston72c1,062$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed LSU28c1,056$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Houston51c1,051$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Houston78c1,050$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.962630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed LSU29c1,040$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.455350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed LSU49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Houston52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48019043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Houston56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed LSU1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed LSU47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.