College Football · resolved market
O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3511d7b6008d2a8d7122476d72d5ed1f33e71620eec352df60d0f68a59f8b22a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 3,257$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.57 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 2,576$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.1 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 46c | 1,050$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 768.05$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.35 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 539.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 466.29$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 56c | 359.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 52c | 275$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Over | 52c | 190.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 114.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 45c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Over | 52c | 59.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 52c | 40.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 38.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 51c | 32.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Over | 53c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…6a7ebacked Over | 52c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 41.5this page
- LSU vs. HoustonHouston won
- LSU vs. Houston: 1H MoneylineHouston won
- LSU vs. Houston: O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Houston (-1.5)Houston won
- Spread: Houston (-2.5)Houston won
- Spread: Houston (-3.5)LSU won
- Spread: Houston (-3.5)LSU won
- Spread: LSU (-0.5)Houston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.