Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded1fd382ece94602a43c7025590b68ea5c7d1fc9b5f3fe4361497195c2e619e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 12c | 187.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 56c | 162$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 56c | 157$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 56c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 56c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 56c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 57c | 70.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.