Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0af9f2f6504eb4e402df473471c4e6319016471ada839aba99b0ee1533bb206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 761.11$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.61 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 30c | 444$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 300.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 39c | 207.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 30c | 196$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 30c | 164$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 30c | 161$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 21c | 117.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 30c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 30c | 105$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 30c | 104$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 30c | 101$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 70c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 70c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 70c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.