Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2789262478b620f1f8b636f81a21f7088452ed68713963b0c9c6f14725907e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millwall FCof Ipswich Town FC, Millwall FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Millwall FC | 78c | 951.9$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Ipswich Town FC | 23c | 889.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Millwall FC | 76c | 188$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Millwall FC | 76c | 161$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Millwall FC | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Millwall FC | 76c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Millwall FC | 76c | 124$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Millwall FC | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ipswich Town FC | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Millwall FC | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Millwall FC | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Ipswich Town FC | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Millwall FC | 76c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Millwall FC | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Millwall FC | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Millwall FC | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Millwall FC | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Ipswich Town FC | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Ipswich Town FC | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Millwall FC | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Ipswich Town FC | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Millwall FC | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Millwall FC | 78c | 22.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Millwall FC | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)this page
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.