Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67a6a07984ff6ad82836fcb4cb446cc3a48a7fd773c8f51a5a20f655c6ad4a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 10c | 533.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 77c | 207$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 77c | 199$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 77c | 144$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 77c | 134$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 77c | 127$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 77c | 123$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.