TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde19…8e43backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8402458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c41…02e2backed Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8402161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Over54c3,293$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5153043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c2,419$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,064$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.1550754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over53c952.59$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Under47c934.98$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4411361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c834$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.962,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Under44c692.03$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.491127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under5c224.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e5…4c5ebacked Over54c129$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.24429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under39c108$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.126053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4638845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under34c94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.964757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c93.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under39c82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.98450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under34c74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.169050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2e…d99abacked Under47c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under35c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.49258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under40c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under36c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.323458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under35c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.76839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aff…6fcfbacked Under45c62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under33c59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4710143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.38552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Over65c57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under40c54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under36c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.726160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under35c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked Over65c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.052050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under35c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.154560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Over65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.933441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.662948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.324953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under33c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Over65c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Over64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.564052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over61c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.983450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under34c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.367648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.124052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over59c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.814746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Over59c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.173652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under40c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under42c34.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over62c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.84360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over65c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.553834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Over66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.223441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under32c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.565152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over51c30.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8520241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over65c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.133540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Over60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over61c25.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Over67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over64c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.282142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Over61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Over62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Over60c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57a…a337backed Over65c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.681546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over65c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.145552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Over66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.142050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over63c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Over59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.382055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.482864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over64c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.284151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.