TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under37c39,524$14,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,608.1611535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over63c37,985$23,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,054.2926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Over56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…fefbbacked Under44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,800540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c3,420$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Over67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under33c2,800$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c1,846$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Over57c1,756$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.963743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3927443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb1…15fabacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.393351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under9c1,676$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.262,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under30c1,602$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Over76c1,598$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1918558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under43c1,405$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6091,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under41c1,367$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.751,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Over61c459.35$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.152035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over68c430$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.648146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Under9c424.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over76c411.88$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Over68c367.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4314452.1%75 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c310.86$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.072,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under22c284.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.221,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under32c249.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.882,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over62c213.96$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.072,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Over68c208.14$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.37149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Over68c177.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3222342.2%94 W · 129 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under37c166$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.886446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418e…3be4backed Under36c164$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Over68c163.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4513456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb925…cc59backed Over64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under35c124.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under11c122.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0118554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under34c101$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.346160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3618656.5%105 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under34c99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.664553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over62c94.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.632,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under32c92.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Over68c92.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.654955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.44447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Over62c85.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2513943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…7e3ebacked Under19c80.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1327152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under38c76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.886953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under31c69.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6510735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under34c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.786349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a5…1633backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…dff3backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under36c61.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under34c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.729360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under44c57.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…0b8dbacked Over68c55.79$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.853658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb317…1893backed Over66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.525858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Over62c47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.861947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over66c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.964165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under43c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.496154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Over60c41.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.432458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under34c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.945651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over63c40.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8671044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0622backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015140.4%61 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over62c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.443354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Over66c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabe…ff32backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4820241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Over63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.653647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over62c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.783946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over62c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ca2…2635backed Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82875%21 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcede…276fbacked Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Over66c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Over66c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3219150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Over66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.53246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over65c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over66c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.144459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Over66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.143240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d9…5d00backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.125850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed Over65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.782536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Over66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.782142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Over65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Over64c15.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7144844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…bb7cbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.