NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02b3cbb41995b14088c917014b525b6570dde872403d43479a392e7940a9dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 49c | 326.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 109.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…eaf0backed Under | 50c | 80.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 59c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 54.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 54c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Over | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.