TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over53c97,943$51,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,033.1426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under47c29,840$14,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,024.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Under47c17,871$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.5418151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c14,992$7,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,196.311,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under47c11,898$5,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,573.076546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c10,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under47c7,238$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.6320542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Over51c7,152$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under50c6,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over53c4,906$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.6629652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c3,889$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.5566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c2,924$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Under47c2,376$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.723256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c2,213$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under47c2,075$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.213041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c1,725$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.342,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under47c1,525$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7215540%22 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,249$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Under47c994.3$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.329652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under4c907.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3267921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under33c834.18$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.121,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over52c674.81$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9114753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18840952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18841742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under47c398.8$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c374$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over53c345.28$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.283256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Under51c274.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0336356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c267.46$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.322,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under23c259.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.295549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.536854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under51c211.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10860346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.830348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0add…4c8ebacked Under47c207.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9411942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Over53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Under50c198.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under48c189.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9828751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Under49c189.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.949445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Over53c188.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Under47c187.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8831551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb632…7ec5backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007959.5%47 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Under46c142.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5916942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c142.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Over53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c128$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7229046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Under47c115.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.439050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4615…5866backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718955%104 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011155%61 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over54c93.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0721753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c81.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under51c79.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.452242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa049…c990backed Under70c71.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515759.9%94 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6124…f5ebbacked Under51c67.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Over54c53.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4531748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under66c52.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.569049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513646.3%63 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1512149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Under54c47.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9413352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Over54c45.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.949941.4%41 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf888…d04ebacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.5wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x25e3…a909backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafad…623bbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c31.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5193…b348backed Under51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…eb14backed Under48c31.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.913542.9%15 W · 20 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa242…cd4bbacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.515841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under51c23.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7647349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3658…614abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.