TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Lakers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,286,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,347,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,286,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Spurs50c874,276$441,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432,848.3815443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Lakers50c595,628$297,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297,260.3725248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Lakers49c300,000$147,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,999.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers48c85,594$41,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,085.261,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers48c42,788$20,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,538.441,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Lakers49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers49c30,000$14,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,55066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Lakers48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.913839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs51c20,677$10,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,132.092,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Spurs51c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Spurs51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8004841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs51c12,707$6,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,185.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs51c9,980$5,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers48c9,759$4,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs52c9,421$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.041,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Spurs52c8,700$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers49c6,500$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710a…a5d8backed Spurs51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0092157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4c…94fdbacked Lakers49c4,100$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0091428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x92db…4fabbacked Lakers51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0911741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…58c9backed Spurs49c4,086$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.862040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Lakers49c4,042$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.422860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Lakers49c4,026$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.742665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5442…6fa7backed Lakers49c4,026$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.742060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd29c…d4efbacked Lakers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0801…fd93backed Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2f…aa56backed Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e31…9dcabacked Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Lakers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb62…abbdbacked Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs52c3,923$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.1336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Lakers48c3,905$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.424048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Spurs53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5815461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Spurs53c3,583$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.064544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Spurs54c2,771$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers46c2,718$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.671,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Spurs53c2,400$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aeb…be79backed Lakers50c2,217$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.53366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers47c2,157$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Spurs53c2,083$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.7321055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Lakers48c2,056$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98713063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Lakers51c1,700$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87111834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Spurs52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.2339051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Lakers48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57615653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers48c1,185$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs52c1,114$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.91,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Lakers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Spurs52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Spurs53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Lakers48c1,000$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47631538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Spurs52c884.62$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.629652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Spurs52c786.17$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2333743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f3…423ebacked Spurs80c780$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers48c768.75$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Lakers48c702.08$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33724847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Spurs52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33628929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…a708backed Lakers49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Lakers48c675.94$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.459843.9%43 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers48c627$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80f…4fa0backed Spurs52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071e…0d11backed Lakers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Spurs53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0438649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Lakers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e73…59c4backed Spurs51c494$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc813…298ebacked Lakers50c494$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…3e68backed Spurs51c467$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234e…ec00backed Lakers50c467$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…da96backed Spurs51c464$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4647…bc63backed Lakers50c464$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5fd…9ef1backed Lakers50c448$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea90…4a00backed Spurs51c448$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs47c419.64$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Lakers48c415.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Lakers48c398.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.812,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Spurs53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3620754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Spurs52c371.08$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0854853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7a…f999backed Lakers50c359$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…5a15backed Spurs51c359$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lakers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Spurs52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14427247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs51c295.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.073,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Spurs53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0223058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Lakers49c263.92$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Spurs49c259.08$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1832450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2f38backed Lakers49c219.23$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf65e…a238backed Lakers49c211$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Lakers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e3…e662backed Lakers49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Lakers49c204.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011854.2%64 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Lakers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.