NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda0cb53762b6a00976883342f6099eccf5f7f4f715dda86850d6710ce002f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 14,440$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Under | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 9,330$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.06 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 48c | 8,282$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.52 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 47c | 8,169$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.53 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 47c | 7,981$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.77 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Under | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Under | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Over | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Over | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…676ebacked Over | 51c | 4,150$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Under | 49c | 4,150$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 52c | 3,856$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 3,385$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.66 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,586$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Under | 44c | 1,412$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 45c | 936.22$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 848.96$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Under | 47c | 823.98$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 47c | 765.71$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.71 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Under | 51c | 727.45$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 53c | 715.77$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.41 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 56c | 685.84$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.89 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Under | 40c | 606.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 447$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.29 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 49c | 425.19$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.34 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 44c | 228.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 46c | 161.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 109.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Under | 48c | 78.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 46c | 67.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…e8b6backed Under | 80c | 46.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…c0c3backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.