NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb1e84079fa588e0d357625e28ad058ef489bf87b35db1eac8200d54fedcb9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Lakers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 12c | 9,511$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 36c | 3,182$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 43c | 2,361$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.18 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Lakers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.97 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Lakers | 66c | 1,525$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Lakers | 58c | 1,357$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 54c | 1,246$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.64 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Spurs | 41c | 1,223$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.35 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Spurs | 35c | 986.84$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.61 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Lakers | 67c | 974.01$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Lakers | 55c | 950$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…2546backed Lakers | 58c | 856.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Spurs | 38c | 776.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.11 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Lakers | 4c | 651.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 39c | 645.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Lakers | 65c | 612.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Lakers | 66c | 610.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 42c | 561.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 40c | 501.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…99f0backed Lakers | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 62c | 417$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Spurs | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Spurs | 31c | 389.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.06 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs | 42c | 352.53$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lakers | 66c | 307$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…6fe9backed Lakers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Spurs | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Spurs | 43c | 278$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…4a7ebacked Spurs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 35c | 268.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Spurs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Spurs | 41c | 231$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 45c | 192.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spurs | 35c | 179.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 47c | 172.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Lakers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…83abbacked Spurs | 37c | 171$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…a317backed Lakers | 63c | 166$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Spurs | 37c | 165$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Spurs | 49c | 164.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers | 48c | 160.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Spurs | 7c | 152.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Lakers | 66c | 152.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Spurs | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Lakers | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Spurs | 36c | 143$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Spurs | 35c | 141$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 42c | 139.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 58c | 138.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Lakers | 65c | 116.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Lakers | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Spurs | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Spurs | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Spurs | 37c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Lakers | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Spurs | 35c | 91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…0d0dbacked Lakers | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Lakers | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Lakers | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Spurs | 35c | 79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Lakers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lakers | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Lakers | 63c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Lakers | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Lakers | 39c | 75.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…e47bbacked Spurs | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Spurs | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed Spurs | 42c | 74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Spurs | 54c | 70.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Spurs | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Spurs | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Lakers | 64c | 68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Lakers | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Lakers | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Lakers | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Lakers | 64c | 62.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Lakers | 65c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Spurs | 36c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Lakers | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Lakers | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Lakers | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Spurs | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Spurs | 36c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Lakers | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Spurs | 41c | 52.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 59c | 52.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Lakers | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Spurs | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Lakers | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Lakers | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Lakers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Spurs | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Spurs | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Lakers | 22c | 49.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Spurs | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…d96cbacked Lakers | 66c | 47.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Spurs | 36c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Lakers | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.