NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3d3eab526e716fc8c2e6e3d36e49de3acda2ae3c41215f98321de9c8468136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Lakers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Lakers | 50c | 177,021$88,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,652.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 50c | 89,320$44,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,660.6 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 58c | 50,620$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs | 41c | 29,125$11,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,183.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Lakers | 50c | 28,128$14,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,103.4 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Spurs | 50c | 25,761$12,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,866.76 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 45c | 14,731$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,083.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 48c | 12,582$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.24 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265c…7843backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…92bebacked Spurs | 50c | 9,552$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Lakers | 58c | 9,500$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Spurs | 49c | 9,110$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.24 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 50c | 8,400$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9581…6a37backed Spurs | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 48c | 5,554$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spurs | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs | 50c | 4,550$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.99 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 43c | 4,521$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 44c | 3,545$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Spurs | 50c | 3,402$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Spurs | 50c | 3,040$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 55c | 3,011$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Spurs | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs | 44c | 2,770$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.2 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Spurs | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 56c | 2,206$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.56 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spurs | 44c | 2,170$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.2 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…8cccbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,888$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Spurs | 47c | 1,842$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.38 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Spurs | 43c | 1,693$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.01 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Lakers | 49c | 1,647$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.66 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…293cbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,640$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Spurs | 44c | 1,241$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.96 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Lakers | 51c | 1,148$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.46 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Lakers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lakers | 57c | 999.74$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.85 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed Lakers | 59c | 911.34$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Lakers | 58c | 862.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Spurs | 45c | 824$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Spurs | 48c | 806.25$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 49c | 763.34$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.24 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Spurs | 48c | 733.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.07 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 51c | 702.25$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 43c | 605.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Spurs | 42c | 580.81$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.06 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Lakers | 57c | 579.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.59 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Lakers | 57c | 550$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Lakers | 59c | 508.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked Lakers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Lakers | 58c | 493.76$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Spurs | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Spurs | 42c | 266$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…7e2fbacked Spurs | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Spurs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Spurs | 51c | 214.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Lakers | 59c | 184.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Spurs | 42c | 173$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Lakers | 58c | 172.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Lakers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…e1a9backed Lakers | 57c | 168.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…ecddbacked Spurs | 44c | 168$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…6c9dbacked Spurs | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 35c | 133.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Spurs | 49c | 121.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Spurs | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Spurs | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Spurs | 49c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 57c | 105.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Spurs | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Lakers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Lakers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Lakers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Lakers | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Spurs | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…4325backed Lakers | 52c | 96.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Spurs | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Spurs | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…5a9fbacked Lakers | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 53c | 89.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 47c | 89.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…3ea6backed Lakers | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Lakers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 47c | 86.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…124dbacked Spurs | 50c | 86.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…739abacked Spurs | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…e0c6backed Lakers | 51c | 82.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…1e85backed Lakers | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Spurs | 43c | 78.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…795ebacked Spurs | 50c | 78.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Spurs | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.