NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84e7476b6a95045a0a8d63e8b11e33afe619e36cbd0b2434a823660b1daf97d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Lakers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea44…293cbacked Spurs | 46c | 9,089$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Lakers | 54c | 8,955$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 57c | 5,410$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 51c | 4,972$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.72 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 57c | 4,361$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Spurs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 4c | 1,477$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Spurs | 46c | 1,328$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Spurs | 42c | 1,050$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.39 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 55c | 982$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Lakers | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Spurs | 44c | 613.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.57 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 56c | 364.04$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Lakers | 61c | 252.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +8.1wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Lakers | 56c | 185$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 55c | 175.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Lakers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Lakers | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Lakers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 38c | 142.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Spurs | 44c | 139.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Spurs | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Spurs | 33c | 132.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Lakers | 62c | 129.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Spurs | 40c | 126$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 44c | 124.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Spurs | 40c | 116$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Spurs | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Lakers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a80…755fbacked Spurs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Spurs | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…541cbacked Lakers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed Lakers | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Spurs | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Lakers | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Spurs | 39c | 83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Lakers | 75c | 80.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Spurs | 39c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Spurs | 38c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Lakers | 61c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…f5b4backed Lakers | 62c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Lakers | 61c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Spurs | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Spurs | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Spurs | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Lakers | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Lakers | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Spurs | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Lakers | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Lakers | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Spurs | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Lakers | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Lakers | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Spurs | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Spurs | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Spurs | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Spurs | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Lakers | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Lakers | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Spurs | 39c | 32.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Lakers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Spurs | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Lakers | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Lakers | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Lakers | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Lakers | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Lakers | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Lakers | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Lakers | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Lakers | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Lakers | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Lakers | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Lakers | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Lakers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Lakers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Spurs | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Lakers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Lakers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…f77fbacked Lakers | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Lakers | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Lakers | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Lakers | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Lakers | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Lakers | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Lakers | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.