TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Over55c29,857$16,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,535.154961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over53c25,377$13,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,96111656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c14,621$6,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,573.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under47c13,000$6,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,11019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under49c10,349$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.4824053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7136…4be3backed Under48c9,075$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,31910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Under44c8,990$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.918151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…0c2ebacked Under51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c7,828$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Over49c5,509$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.73043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c5,059$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5142,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Under40c4,731$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.3210235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c2,560$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.23,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Over60c2,483$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.0715244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under44c2,427$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.6620542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a12…6428backed Under48c2,085$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Over49c2,014$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.0436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over58c1,765$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.1322053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c1,602$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under47c1,270$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c1,038$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.262,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under48c818.75$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39316254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under42c731$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0244648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Under48c698$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33225554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c697.78$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.133,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6623550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under43c628.53$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3928537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Under49c623.57$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c508.14$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.581,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a04…d57dbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Under47c471.15$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4411361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18840947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over52c393.86$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0526755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under39c326.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.56546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under50c271$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.59446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Under48c254.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Over59c233$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5334447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under48c177$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.969560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Over58c168.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9714753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under41c145$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.924146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x390b…78ccbacked Under47c138.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Under40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c115$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…05c8backed Under47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ff…1f33backed Under51c103$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under41c101$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.418151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Under49c99.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over53c97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.513256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under43c94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.425141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…e8a8backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…c340backed Under42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over50c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over50c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under43c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.674953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under40c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6747856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under50c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under40c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under41c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.427753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Over52c57.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2124731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under41c56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.969258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2210143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf990…b0dabacked Over57c53.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…d3f6backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31b…e34dbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725664.3%36 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Over59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.096446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Over52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.525048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c0…95afbacked Under47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under41c48.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.688644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Over57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.644060%24 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under36c44.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over59c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over61c42.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.