NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5974774a70b686a491de76a02bc1a7e844d51a511665c1841774c8491b156d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 50c | 16,988$8,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,494 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 50c | 14,194$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,043.57 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 11,402$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,586$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 6,459$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 50c | 3,937$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.51 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 3,866$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 48c | 2,852$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.92 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 50c | 2,626$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 45c | 1,001$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.49 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…c3c0backed Under | 40c | 994$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 951.25$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 951.24$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.62 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 57c | 895.76$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 54c | 726.74$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.97 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 13c | 633.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 565.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 509.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…4135backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 18c | 466.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…f40dbacked Under | 50c | 416.94$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 51c | 394.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 46c | 378.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872a…516dbacked Under | 37c | 267.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…591cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 190.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…6f12backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 51c | 130.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…0da2backed Under | 49c | 129.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Under | 50c | 122.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 48c | 91.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…b0ebbacked Under | 51c | 80.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Under | 49c | 74.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 54.6%155 W · 129 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…6441backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…704ebacked Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…3112backed Over | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…7e26backed Under | 66c | 27.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Under | 49c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01e…316abacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 54c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…18e9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points Over 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.