Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc43a696b10034bba1a71d43cabf4090b55cffe5877e8386e590ecad2a3cb8b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 23c | 3,706$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 76c | 2,600$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 2,095$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.73 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,881$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.49 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 6c | 1,664$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 22c | 900.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 685.92$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 52c | 673.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 50c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.76 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 195.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 49c | 186.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…ff77backed No | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Yes | 24c | 123.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 79c | 110.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed No | 77c | 90.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 22c | 73.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 24c | 48.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…3799backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 18.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. SK Rapid Wien end in a draw?Yes won
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.