TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-12-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0002544%11 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes48c19,969$9,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,584.913951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8737…94fdbacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c8,016$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.4144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c6,554$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.3784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No47c5,939$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.792733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes56c4,444$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.642128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc72…17a0backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Yes50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No51c2,049$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.862560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes19c1,725$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes50c1,638$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.512955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes52c1,548$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No48c1,277$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.291947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes50c1,019$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.1542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c969$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.312,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes52c900$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.754634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4593669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No51c752.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.978345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde1…dfc0backed Yes51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes50c699.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c672.72$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7211246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No49c593.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.13253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes53c472.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes14c407.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.695240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c404.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c386.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4636136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2697…8144backed Yes51c362$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes50c360.63$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No43c360$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2061457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes54c325$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes51c324.84$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c256.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes19c183$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.777650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes22c165.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6611644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes50c160.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1119934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes52c160.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c147.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.543,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.43046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7737…4378backed No51c137$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.320056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…bcfcbacked Yes24c111.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes36c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No48c108.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.512142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513850%19 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.954822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes51c94.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.237550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes51c92.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.736656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No44c91.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9533847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No50c86.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.115518.2%10 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes52c76.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Yes49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46a…e9dbbacked Yes49c71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc603…3b67backed Yes50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes50c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302763%17 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9718…9546backed Yes55c58.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes57c55.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Yes51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed No48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+72.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No49c43.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.27533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…c4ffbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a4b…c1fbbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a27…e7eebacked Yes49c35.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed No51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Yes47c25.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.