TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Hapoel Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa83b…0e4abacked Panathinaikos60c8,218$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c7,985$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos62c6,597$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.2854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Panathinaikos63c6,360$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.031553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c5,049$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.2514847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019e…25d9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv43c4,183$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv38c3,000$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.483834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hapoel Tel Aviv40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Hapoel Tel Aviv11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos72c1,411$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.531651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c1,400$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.98344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40822231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos63c989.25$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0327557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos75c951.57$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6436939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv47c761.23$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.782941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos65c743.03$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5914542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Panathinaikos68c736.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.021464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Panathinaikos65c716$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Panathinaikos77c665.82$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2212454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv7c646.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.444050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Panathinaikos68c434.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+78.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Hapoel Tel Aviv35c399.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…d221backed Hapoel Tel Aviv30c351.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.89633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panathinaikos63c344.24$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.379136.3%33 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Panathinaikos67c339.87$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.552030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Panathinaikos67c306.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.794454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panathinaikos70c295.62$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5312268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c290.81$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Hapoel Tel Aviv17c249$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panathinaikos62c196.17$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5413548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Hapoel Tel Aviv22c196$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Panathinaikos65c179.19$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv37c171.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.792748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv35c165$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c156$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c155$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Panathinaikos65c153.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.231650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Panathinaikos65c150.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.162365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c131$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv23c128.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+91.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv24c116.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c108$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+111.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c101.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv22c100.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.864143.9%18 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+69%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x674a…ad6cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6668…ad96backed Panathinaikos63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv15c98.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Hapoel Tel Aviv38c95.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos64c90.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Panathinaikos63c81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Panathinaikos76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.045664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Panathinaikos54c74.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.389255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadd…637dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv45c74.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panathinaikos69c74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2318144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Hapoel Tel Aviv35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Panathinaikos63c50.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.844047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Panathinaikos63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Panathinaikos63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Panathinaikos63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Panathinaikos63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65be…1c83backed Hapoel Tel Aviv23c49.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv36c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Panathinaikos78c44.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Panathinaikos64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Hapoel Tel Aviv35c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Panathinaikos68c43.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.964971.4%35 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Panathinaikos64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5890…2bb8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c38.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Panathinaikos64c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Panathinaikos64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c34.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.834369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2ab…13febacked Panathinaikos65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Panathinaikos66c33.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5431446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Panathinaikos64c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Panathinaikos64c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Panathinaikos64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked Panathinaikos64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Panathinaikos64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Panathinaikos64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Panathinaikos65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Panathinaikos66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Panathinaikos64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Panathinaikos64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Panathinaikos64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fe…4293backed Panathinaikos64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Panathinaikos65c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Panathinaikos64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Panathinaikos64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Panathinaikos64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.723100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Panathinaikos64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Panathinaikos61c25.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Panathinaikos65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d9…0620backed Panathinaikos65c24.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57a…a337backed Panathinaikos64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.