NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d98224e9ffe19b0deb1f2f7418e73acc977cb2564d88dbb5c566f2fe2750d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 8,432$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.29 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 51c | 6,021$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.8 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,027$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 54c | 2,047$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.18 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 1,880$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 51c | 392.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 289.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 158.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 158.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 140.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…a621backed Over | 55c | 125.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.44per pick | 66cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…7196backed Over | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 49c | 98.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Over | 47c | 84.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 77.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 62c | 71.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…4d16backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 60.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 42.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 45c | 28.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.