NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abba637ec832486b750d7ef5accd6917de8c89a74d4b4b8cf30e654f6c14ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 45c | 32,324$14,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,772.49 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers | 54c | 30,318$16,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,401.9 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Clippers | 54c | 25,077$13,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,442.3 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 15,380$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Clippers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 50c | 5,672$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers | 54c | 3,356$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,133$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,608$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,976$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.38 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 768.46$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.46 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 54c | 554.05$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Grizzlies | 48c | 509$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Clippers | 52c | 509$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Grizzlies | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Clippers | 55c | 411.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 51c | 316.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Clippers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Clippers | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Grizzlies | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Clippers | 47c | 197.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Grizzlies | 45c | 164.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Grizzlies | 45c | 121$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Grizzlies | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Grizzlies | 47c | 107.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 46c | 107.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Clippers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Grizzlies | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Clippers | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 94.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 46c | 85.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Grizzlies | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Clippers | 55c | 50.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Grizzlies | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Clippers | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Clippers | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…73e7backed Clippers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 48c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Clippers | 57c | 35.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies | 46c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Clippers | 49c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Grizzlies | 46c | 22.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Grizzlies | 52c | 20.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…d2e0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.