NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8429bfa4789e49a79508bf6cb3e69c7303786ec7d3cf23d88ef339152f5516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4c9…33e3backed Over | 49c | 9,388$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 8,992$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.88 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 48c | 5,542$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 5,483$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 51c | 1,500$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.86 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Under | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 955$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 799.3$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.62 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 654$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 362$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 281.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 7c | 244.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 7c | 244.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 209.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 50c | 151.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…b008backed Under | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Under | 51c | 77.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 48.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…3133backed Over | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Over | 50c | 20.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…1a46backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.