NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdad0f24483dc6e40293d8aad40d5723b70ed5b3546d3350274693b6fb6210aa

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $174,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $175,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,204 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Over	50c	61,711$30,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,737.75	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under	53c	46,994$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,994.31	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	30,468$15,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,227.72	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7178…0c07backed Over	50c	29,694$14,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,796	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	50c	27,654$13,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,826.78	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	13,646$6,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,378.07	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over	48c	7,706$3,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,699	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	54c	4,159$2,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,913.14	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	48c	3,591$1,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.83	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Under	51c	2,158$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.57	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	53c	2,091$1,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	51c	1,511$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.57	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	41c	1,077$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Over	47c	1,019$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.88	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over	49c	999.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under	55c	945.45$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.45	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	45c	943.95$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.79	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under	52c	692.31$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.31	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	6c	678.73$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.87	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	8c	629.78$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.63	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	49c	612$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.88	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	50c	505$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.23	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under	56c	464.29$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.29	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4455…98e5backed Over	17c	301.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	4c	278$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	211$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.17	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb714…4b06backed Over	48c	209.84$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.52	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-12.3wins	-0.15per pick	63cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	54c	183.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.74	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a5…1633backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	53c	177.83$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under	50c	175.27$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.63	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	47c	173.57$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.58	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Under	51c	155.88$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.38	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	16c	140.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under	78c	124.97$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.49	166	69.9%116 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under	54c	122$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.12	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under	66c	106$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.04	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea6…b729backed Under	53c	94.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.7	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…dff3backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	41c	87.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…c340backed Over	52c	82.35$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…b1e4backed Under	53c	82$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ba…1e75backed Under	53c	79.54$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.54	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under	54c	68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Under	52c	62.52$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.01	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	33c	62.27$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under	54c	47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.62	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under	54c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5899…032dbacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f64…621cbacked Over	47c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-11.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over	46c	39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	47c	37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under	52c	36.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	304	54.9%167 W · 137 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5d3…bb7cbacked Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Over	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…27efbacked Over	49c	33.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over	46c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	336	50.6%170 W · 166 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c9…893abacked Under	53c	28.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Over	46c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under	54c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over	46c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Over	46c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over	48c	21.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Under	71c	21.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	849	57.6%489 W · 360 L	-52.1wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b3a…0b88backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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