NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c1f63543bccbf8e8756e0cb5ac1fee5c12ad36821bccdef991322753742396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Clippers | 50c | 15,679$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,839.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,002$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 7,680$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 4,414$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.4 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 53c | 3,382$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clippers | 58c | 2,623$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.91 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers | 53c | 2,356$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.79 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 43c | 2,220$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,278$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 54c | 930.55$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 55c | 828.26$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.57 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 386.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Clippers | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Grizzlies | 42c | 283.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Grizzlies | 43c | 189.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Clippers | 59c | 170.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 52c | 148.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 146.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 144$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 52c | 113.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Clippers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Clippers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 97.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…16e8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Grizzlies | 49c | 77.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies | 48c | 75.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Grizzlies | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Clippers | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Grizzlies | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Clippers | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Clippers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 55c | 32.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Clippers | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…a54abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.